Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.911173 3.246125 3.608250 4.029538 4.507043 5.032447 5.655674
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.430304 2.877717 3.395133 4.040355 4.827018 5.759519 6.955341
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.124313 2.631230 3.248026 4.059151 5.105684 6.421148 8.216691
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.902923 2.444272 3.130708 4.073666 5.348830 7.032577 9.456151
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.692183 2.239847 2.958478 3.982400 5.423162 7.407236 10.397082
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.546507 2.102404 2.854470 3.961837 5.577168 7.888821 11.523031
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.419560 1.976159 2.749980 3.923526 5.692113 8.313400 12.598255
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.367322 1.948575 2.778799 4.075537 6.094845 9.195874 14.470908
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.279651 1.860955 2.710929 4.073095 6.256194 9.715687 15.813358
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.195405 1.770939 2.630748 4.041739 6.364239 10.154104 17.061183
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.077101 1.620100 2.445754 3.827500 6.152821 10.041315 17.330226
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.019020 1.558214 2.393984 3.822926 6.286911 10.520179 18.707298
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.983553 1.530895 2.397058 3.912750 6.596584 11.346294 20.854958
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.937660 1.483458 2.363837 3.937901 6.794827 11.993291 22.745267
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.895151 1.438371 2.330716 3.959435 6.986835 12.645896 24.729286
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.855130 1.394486 2.296007 3.974277 7.166057 13.289804 26.777183
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.801027 1.322972 2.208573 3.885668 7.139488 13.526235 27.982526
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.762664 1.276086 2.160710 3.865702 7.242499 14.029312 29.835738
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.724644 1.227374 2.106200 3.828443 7.306797 14.457345 31.573453
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.716521 1.231256 2.146616 3.976303 7.759006 15.748824 35.517669
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.687648 1.195727 2.112076 3.973928 7.898486 16.377462 37.948166
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.657015 1.155132 2.065405 3.943431 7.974866 16.872641 40.114587
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.605657 1.073253 1.935815 3.735032 7.648228 16.419127 39.772897